Saturday, June 28, 2008

Severe Saturday Update

The latest outlook has this for Mid. TN.

  • Tornado: 2% risk for Northern Mid. TN

  • Hail: 15% for all of Mid. TN

  • Wind: 15% for all of Mid. TN (30% line right on the TN/KY border)

Here's the latest Outlook write-up for us.

...LOWER TN/LOWER MS VALLEYS

A GREATER THREAT APPEARS LIKELY ALONG SEVERAL CONVECTIVELY INDUCED OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES EXTENDING FROM NRN AL WWD INTO SRN AR AND FROM CENTRAL AR SWWD INTO NW TX. ALTHOUGH DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS RATHER WEAK ACROSS MUCH OF THIS REGION...EXCEPT IN THE VICINITY OF MID LEVEL IMPULSES LOCATED OVER NRN MIDDLE TN/SRN KY...NWRN AR...SRN- ERN OK AND ERN NM...MODERATE INSTABILITY AND WEAKER STEERING FLOW SHOULD RESULT IN MAINLY OUT-FLOW DOMINATE STRONG-SEVERE STORMS.

There have already been storms to pop-up here at the Highland Rim station and areas my way, but none have reached severe limits yet, but they could at any moment. I'll have more updates later on.

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