Sunday, August 31, 2008

Current Conditions

Here are the Local Conditions at BNA (Nashville International Airport)

Mostly Sunny, 86 degrees
Dew Point: 69 degrees
Relative Humidity:63.1%

Keep up-to-date on Gustav!!!

Great News on Gustav

Excellent news out of the National Hurricane Center! Hurricane Gustav has been downgraded to Category 3 Status! That is still very strong but it's better than dealing with a Cat.4/5. Here's the current 3-Day Track and with watches and warnings.

Now this is the current Infared Satellite Image of the US of A. Can You guess where Gustav or Hanna is?

Here's the weather news for Middle Tennessee. Today should be a HOT one. The high will be up to 94 degrees! This won't help out, its going to be sunny, no clouds to cool us off. But tonight looks to shape up GREAT! Clear with a low near 68 degrees.

Check the blog this afternoon for the First ever, HighlandRim TN WX Video Forecast. I'll be making the debut video so it might not work well the first time!

Have a Great Day!

Saturday, August 30, 2008

BREAKING NEWS: New Orleans Under Mandatory Evacuation

At around 8:20, the news was made that Mayor Ray Nagin of New Orleans, has issued a mandatory evacuation of all of the cities people. There will not be a shelter center setup in the city for the people that do chose to stay. He said that this storm will be worse than Katrina and will if you do chose to stay, you will be on your own. Powerful words from Nagin. Gustav as of now is coming back into the waters, but this time in the Gulf. The winds right now are at 150 with gust in the 185 mph range. This storm is expected to reach Cat. 5 strength while over the Gulf waters, but hit the Grand Isle, LA area as a Cat. 4. Storm surge is going to be the main threat with Gustav, but winds and rain will also be a big concern as he approaches fast from the SE.

Gustav Now Cat. 4, Likely Cat. 5 By Tomorrow

Here's the NHC's take on Gustav.


This is a very dangerous system and I as well as everyone needs to keep watching the latest by the NHC. (Don't bother watching the Weather Channel, they are currently showing, "It Could Happen Tomorrow")

Major Hurricane Gustav

On the visible satellite image of Gustav, you can clearly see the eye of Gustav on the right side of the storm. The winds right now are at 120 mph (Cat. 3) and growing.
Gustav is predicted to go over the low, lying areas of Cuba which is a big deal. If Gustav was to go over the eastern side of Cuba (which it didn't) then it would of had to of endured very mountainous areas and such and it would of knocked the intensity down a lot. The current track has Gustav hitting the southern areas of LA with the worst side (right side) hitting New Orleans. Evacuation process is underway for people of New Orleans and other areas of the LA coast due to the forecasted strength and landfall area.

Friday, August 29, 2008

Breaking News...

Gustav has become a Hurricane again! Click For The Latest Details

Here's the Latest Warnings/Watches/Advisories and 3-Day Track on Gustav

On a side note....Gallatin High School Defeated Lebanon 33-30.

Mild Night for High School Football

After a Humid day in the Mid-State, tonight looks to shape up great for High School Football GO GALLATIN!!!!!! GHS faces the Lebanon Blue Devils tonight in Lebanon. Tonight will be mild, here are some low's for various places:

Lebanon, Low Near 68, 30% Chance of Showers

Smyrna, Low Near 66, 30% Chance of seeing a stray shower

Lafayette, Low near 68, 20% Chance of Rain

A stray shower can't be ruled out.

Right now Rutherford, Cannon, and DeKalb County are having a shower moving over.

Here's the Latest Radar image from the Sumner Macon SKYWARN Doppler RADAR.

Quick Forecast; Tropical Update

We now have two tropical systems that we need to watch and they both could very well make US landfall's sometime next week. This first image is of Gustav who made its way over Jamaica last night and it didn't really harm this system all that much. The winds are at 65 mph with higher gust. I wouldn't be surprised if later on this afternoon or overnight that we have Hurricane Gustav yet again.
Now this larger system is Hanna. She has formed north of Gustav in the Atlantic and she looks to stay north of Gustav this whole trip. Right now the track has her getting close, if not landfall in Eastern FL next week. We will continue to monitor these systems as they both get closer to US territory.
*Today expect some light fog in the lower lying areas of Middle TN, but we do have a 30% chance today for afternoon pop-up showers/t'showers. Even though those chances are small, we all have a shot at one.
Nashville: low 90's; 30% chance
Clarksville: upper 80's; 40% chance
Cookeville: upper 80's (isolated low 90's); 30% chance
Columbia: low 90's; 30% chance
Manchester: low 90's; 30% chance

Thursday, August 28, 2008

Warmer Day; News

It has been a signifigantly warmer day today then what we have been getting used to. Most areas stretched up into the 90's. Today was also a Sunny day, quite pleasent aside from the heat. The next chance of rain will be tomorrow as we are running a 30% chance of showers and storms. Tonight, Patchy Fog will be a possibility in low-lying areas, remember to use your high-beams in foggy areas. Here's the the next two days:

Tomorrow: 30% Chance od Showers and Storms

Saturday: Mostly Sunny, High near 90 degrees

News: I have a new Storm Spotter Group set up for Sumner and Macon County. If you live in either county please contact me at By the way, the new group is called Sumner-Macon SKYWARN. We are seeking anyone interested, HAM Licensed or not!

Remember this qoute: "You're Either Weather Wise or Other Wise"

Tropical Storm Gustav; TN Forecast

As Gustav gets revving up in the Caribbean, a US landfall looks likely but the only thing we don't know what will happen yet, is the intensity and landfall of Gustav. We will more then likely have a better understanding once he passes the Yucatan and Cuba regions. I'm using the infrared sate little image, due to the fact that the visible satellite one doesn't show anything since the sun hasn't come up yet. I will however use the visible satellite one on this afternoon's Gustav update. Right now the landfall area looks to be southern LA with a NO landfall a major possibility. That's the last thing NO needs right now and New Orleans mayor Ray Nagin is not overlooking Gustav at all. Here's my prediction on Gustav. Please refer back to the NHC's track for the official forecast track and intensity map.

Landfall site (Cantore's Spot): Between New Orleans to Abbeville, LA

Maximum Intensity: 140 mph (Cat. 4)

Landfall Intensity: 120 mph (Cat. 3)

Landfall Time: Tuesday Mid-Morning (10-11 a.m.)

* There is some thick fog in places today all across Middle TN, but especially east of Nashville due to the amount of rain we had from Fay. Be careful going into work and school today as the fog won't dissipate til after the sun has worn it off...9 o'clock or so. Today looks to be a mostly sunny day with high's getting up into the low 90's again, but we do have a slight rain chance tomorrow which is at 40%. That's the highest rain chance we have in the 7 day forecast chart.

Nashville: low 90's
Clarksville: low 90's
Cookeville: upper 80's (isolated spots low 90's)
Columbia: low 90's
Manchester: low 90's

Wednesday, August 27, 2008

New Mexico Storm Pictures; Blog Poll Results

These images where taken by Leah Robertson who has gratefully given me images before to use on the blog. This first image is of a supercell structure cloud with a wall cloud present. Very errie picture, but I would of loved to of been there seeing it! This picture was taken at Los Lunes, NM she says. Thanks for that AWESOME photo!
Now this picture is cool too. If you look at the road sign, you see fog. Well what that is is hail fog that rarely occurs in storms, but if you get alot of hail in a short amount of time and it's hot, hail fog will form. Thanks Leah for letting me use these images.

If you would like to have you storm/nature imagea posted on this site, send those pictures to and we will do our best to post them as soon as we get them!

Blog Poll Results:

Sorry about taking forever to do this, school...need I say more?

What Do You Like Most About TN Weather?

Warm Summers (Beach Times!)
2 (28%)

Snowy/Icy Winters (NO School Times!)
5 (71%)

Thanks for voting. Don't forget to vote in the new blog poll.

Fay Out of Here, Gustav On Her Tail

As Fay has moved out of our region today, (still light rain on the Cumberland Plateau, but that should end by mid-morning) we have a few days of clearing out and drying up. Saturday looks to be the main 7-day forecast day for rain chances (30% chance)...just in time for football kick-off. Thanks Mother Nature! The rain chances are small, but we do need some more rain to get out of this drought that has been going on now for over a year.

Tropical Storm Gustav has weakened back down to Tropical Storm status due to him going over the country of Haiti bringing torrential rains and strong winds. The current model tracks has this thing hitting anywhere between Houston, TX; all the way eastward to the Pensacola, FL region. So anyone along the Gulf Coast needs to watch Gustav very closely. The current model strength has him becoming a major hurricane easily (Cat. 3) with a Cat. 4/Cat. 5 possible. We will continue to monitor this ongoing weather event and we will continue to post the newest information once we get it.
Nashville: upper 80's
Clarksville: upper 80's
Cookeville: mid to upper 80's; 20% chance turning into 0% chance this afternoon
Columbia: upper 80's to low 90's
Manchester: upper 80's

Tuesday, August 26, 2008

Fay's Fortune and Pictures Wanted; Gustav Has Formed

As Fay brings more of her wanted rains to the region, flooding is still a big possibility for areas from Nashville eastward today as Fay will come right over top of us. With Fay coming over us, wind will be a big factor today as well with sustained winds from anywhere between 10-15 mph and gust upwards of 25-30 mph. All this moisture is moving off to the NE around the remnant low, so today is going to be very wet for many just like yesterday was. All this wet weather should exit the area by tomorrow morning with some places on the Plateau and Highland Rim getting totals around 6-7"!
This is the next BIG tropical system and he has already hit hurricane status with winds at 85 mph and still intensifying this morning. The current track has Gustav hitting the country of Haiti today and then either moving over Cuba and weaken, OR move out of Haiti and miss Cuba all together and strengthen before he moves into the gulf as a major hurricane (Cat. 3 or higher). This is the other tropical system I and Matt are watching that could affect our weather next week.

Nashville: upper 70's (isolated spots low 80's) 100% chance
Clarksville: low 80's; 80% chance
Cookeville: upper 70's; 110% chance!
Columbia: upper 70's (isolated spots low 80's); 100% chance
Manchester: upper 70's; 100% chance

* If you have any storm pictures of clouds, flooding, damage, etc. from Fay. Send those pictures my way at and I'll post them on here for all to see!

Monday, August 25, 2008

Rainy Days in Store; But a Plus Side

Rains from the recent tropical disturbance have been moving through the mid-state all day. As Charles mentioned, he had 3+ inches of rain, since last night!!! But today isn't a one and done Rain Event. The entire week ahead has some rain chances slapped with it, with tomorrow being the best chance of seeing some of that beneficial rain. The weekend looks to dry out AND cool down.

This is the plus side of the rains, cooler temperatures. The cooler weather will be in store for us until Thursday, when temperatures reach back up into the 90's. The weekend, again, will cool down, again.

Here's your Highland Rim Wx Forecast.
Tonight: Mostly Cloudy with a 90% chance of Showers and storms, Low near 70.

Tuesday: Cloudy, with a 90% chance of showers and storms. High near 83 degress.

Current Conditions from The Highland Rim Wx Center
Nashville, Cloudy, 75 degrees
Columbia, Cloudy, 77 degrees
Gallatin, Cloudy, 76 degrees

Flash Flood Watch
There's a Flash Flood Watch in affect for the following counties:



Flash Flood Watch in Effect...

For areas east and south of Nashville. Sorry about the crummy paint job, but that's the best I could do. From this system, I have received 3.8" and more yet to come from the south (see radar). All this moisture is going due north VERY slowly and producing heavy rainfall. Some areas could see an additional 2-3" totals out of this and this rain stretches all the way south back into Southern AL around Mobile and Montgomery. This is much needed rain, but the only bad thing is, is that it is coming too fast all at one time. We will continue to monitor this flooding situation and I will also try to get other TN rainfall reports after this system passes us Weds.

Finally! Fay Is Bringing Her Rains

This rain band from Tropical Depression Fay made its way through Middle TN last night and brought with it some much needed rain. More of this rain will be around for today but tomorrow is when things will really get going with heavy rain and windy conditions. Due to the rain and cloud cover, the high's today won't get out of the LOW 80's for anyone and maybe some isolated spots of upper 70's on the AL/TN line.

Nashville: low 80's; 50% chance
Clarksville: low 80's; 40% chance
Cookeville: low 80's; 50% chance
Columbia: low 70's; 50% chance
Manchester: upper 70's to low 80's; 50% chance

Sunday, August 24, 2008

I'm Back...Again

Finally I am able to post. What a Week! Fay made landfall. There were numerous reports of Tornadoes along the Florida Coast and beyond. Unfortunantly 11 people have died in this now Tropical Depression Fay.

Todays Information, expect cloud cover to stay overcast, we will also have rain moving up into the mid-state area. This is the latest look from the Sumner-Macon SKYWARN Doppler RADAR.

Tropical Depression Fay; Precipitation Forecast Map

All the moisture you see coming up from Huntsville, will affect our southern counties in TN today as it all moves in a NW motion. Nashville and points northward and eastward should stay mostly dry today, but Monday and Tuesday is the really big rain days for everyone anyway.
Now, after all is said and done this the predicted rainfall totals over a 5 day period. Areas of eastern and southern TN could see totals anywhere from 2.5" all the way up to 7"+. Then from areas of Nashville westward could see totals of 1" to upwards of 5". This will truly help out the drought situation we are currently in.

Nashville: low 90's
Clarksville: low 90's
Cookeville: upper 80's to low 90's
Columbia: upper 80's; 30% chance
Manchester: upper 80's to low 90's; 10% chance

Saturday, August 23, 2008

Evening Forecast; Tropical Storm Fay's Track...Needed Aid Coming?

Since we have the clouds from Fay in our area tonight, the temps won't be able to drop all that much tonight. The coolest spots will be the areas on the Plateau, but they will only get down into the mid 60's w/ Nashville not even getting out of the 70's again. The chnaces at us seeing rain from Fay is looking better and better. Right now the 5-Day Rainfall total map shows us Middle Tennesseans seeing anything from 2" to even up in the 7" range. Flooding is something that will have to be monitored as Fay inches her way closer to the Mid. State.

*Leah Robertson has sent me some EXCELLENT storm photos from New Mexico again, and I will try to post them on here sometime tomorrow along with the blog poll results.

*Matt's computer has been messing up on him for a while (that's the reason he hasn't been posting) so I'm taking over his posting duties until he can get to posting again.

Day Whatever On Tropical Storm Fay

As Fay is still causing headaches for any weather fanatic, she is still causing major flooding problems in Florida with rainfall totals close to 30" for some areas. This map shows some rain showers moving up through Alabama and eastern TN. Normally we see our system come in from the west and move east, well all this rain on the radar is from Tropical Storm Fay and is moving NWward. The NWS office in Huntsville says that those areas in Northern Alabama could see some wind gust today from Fay, but nothing too concerning. Since we are seeing this rain, I'm going to increase today's chances to 20% for everyone and 30% for areas on the AL/TN state line. If you don't see any rain today (which will be many people) your high should get into the low 90's with higher humidity as well.

Nashville: low 90's; 20% chance
Clarksville: low 90's; 10% chance
Cookeville: low 90's; 20% chance
Columbia: upper 80's to low 90's; 30% chance
Manchester: upper 80's to low 90's; 30% chance

Friday, August 22, 2008

Tropical Storm Fay Update...Yet Again!

Sorry about not making a post yesterday morning, I was under the weather a bit and didn't go to school, I'm still not totally better but I don't need to miss two days in a row this early in the school year. Anyway, This image is the latest spaghetti charts of all the models and where Fay will go next. Alot of these models are in agreement that Fay could make two more US landfalls. From the looks of this spaghetti chart, us Middle Tennesseans won't see anything out of Fay except maybe a few of her clouds.

*Today's Forecast*

For today, expect cloudy conditions for everyone from Nashville westward, but expect partly to isolated cloudy conditions east of the Nashville Basin. Today I'm forecasting Cookeville's high to be in the 90's due to them having more sunshine, but since Nashville will be in the cloud cover for most of the day, they won't get out of the upper 80's! There's a 20% chance at an afternoon shower/t'shower for western portions of Middle TN around the Land Between the Lakes regions. 10% chance for everyone else.

Nashville: upper 80's; 10% chance
Clarksville: mid to upper 80's; 20% chance
Cookeville: low 90's
Columbia: upper 80's; 10% chance
Manchester: upper 80's to low 90's; 10% chance

Wednesday, August 20, 2008

Tropical Storm Fay...WON'T GIVE!

I'm not totally agreeing with the NHC's track, Fay has already exited the eastern coast of FL, but due to her close proximity to land, I don't see her getting up to hurricane strengthen there. Neither does the NHC, BUT this is where the models, again, disagree. Some have Fay going on the NHC's track and not hitting the Gulf of Mexico's warm waters, I tend to agree with the other models and I have Fay entering the GOM waters and strengthening there up too a Cat. 1 strengthen.
This is the 00 UTC run of Fay and it shows that what's left of Fay will trek JUST east of the Nashville area (the center should be around Chattanooga), but the only down side is, is that most of the moisture stays on the eastern side of a tropical system (as you can tell by the model above) and it really doesn't bring much this way. It's all just a wait and see game.

*For today, there's an area of embedded shower/t'shower activity over in Western TN around Memphis this morning, that will work it's way eastward and affect our Middle TN counties around the TN River areas (Montgomery, Houston, Decatur, etc. counties) later on this afternoon. For the rest of Mid. TN, not much in the way of rain. We could see some afternoon pop-up action everywhere, but nothing widespread is in the forecast for the next 7 days. Not what you want to hear, but that's all mother nature's giving us.

Nashville: low 90's; 10% chance
Clarksville: upper 80's to low 90's; 30% chance (increasing to 40% later this evening)
Cookeville: upper 80's; 10% chance
Columbia: low 90's; 10% chance (increasing to 20% later this evening)
Manchester: upper 80's to low 90's; 10% chance

Tuesday, August 19, 2008

Tropical Storm Fay Makes Landfall; Her Rain Coming This Way?

This morning at around 5:00, Fay made landfall very close to Naples, FL or Everglades City, FL. TWC's Jim Cantore is reporting LIVE out of Naples, FL, if you'd like to see what the conditions are like. He's mentioned that transformers have been blowing up form the winds of Fay that have been gusting upwards of 60 mph+. Most people would think, well since Fay's come ashore, she's through...not so fast says Fay. The current models are thinking that Fay will reemerge out into the warm, less sheared Atlantic and then curve itself back in into Southern/Eastern GA before going due west. But she's not done there either, the models also want to bring Fay back into the Gulf after her trek across Southern and Eastern GA and it will then strike the Panhandle of FL before going up the MS/AL coast. WHEW! With this current thinking, Fay could very well strengthen up to hurricane status while over those Atlantic waters and then again once she gets into the Gulf and that would better our chances at seeing some much needed rain, but it could be too much in too little time, so a flooding potential is something we will all have to look out for.

*Today's temps. (We see 90's for the first time since the beginning of August)

Nashville: low 90's
Clarksville: upper 80's (isolated low 90's)
Cookeville: upper 80's
Columbia: low 90's
Manchester: upper 80's (isolated low 90's)

Monday, August 18, 2008

Tropical Storm "Alien" Fay Update; Beginning Work Week Forecast

As you can see, Fay has brought us many surprises not only in a strengthening or moving form, but as a cartoon drawer too. These images I saved when I pointed out over on storm2k about Fay looking like an alien. The first image is a close up of Fay as an alien, while the second image is a longer away one, and someone on that site decided to draw a green body to it too. We had to have some fun tracking this terrible thing. Her current track this morning is a NE movement and, too me, it looks like it may just skim the FL SE coast and move right up along the Atlantic, which isn't good for folks out in SC and NC. She hasn't strengthened any due to the land interaction and mountainous terrain of Cuba, but once she gets herself back over those warm Gulf out!

* For us back home, I've been holding on to the slim chance of fay bringing us some much needed rain, but that chance has quickly left the scene after Fay's surprising sharp turn to the N/NE. The next rain chance we have comes to us on Weds., but not everyone will see rain that day or any other day that says rain. Hopefully we'll get out of this dry pattern before too long.

Nashville: upper 80's (isolated low 90's)
Clarksville: upper 80's
Cookeville: mid to upper 80's
Columbia: upper 80's (isolated low 90's)
Manchester: upper 80's

Sunday, August 17, 2008

Cool Sweep to Continue

After my absence I can say, boy am I glad to be back posting!!! The weather in

Middle-Tennessee this week was just amazing! Great week to start off here in Gallatin! Expect conditions to continue into the mid-week this week. There doesn't appear to be any big chances of rain coming up any time soon so i'd have top say, HOORAY SUNSHINE!!! Here are your loca; conditions:

Gallatin, Sunny 82 Degrees

Nashville, Sunny, 84 Degrees

Smyrna, Sunny 83 Degrees

Have a great day and make sure to vote in the new Blog Poll!

Saturday, August 16, 2008

Tropical Storm Fay; Nice Nights Continue As Well

This is the NHC (National Hurricane Centers) projected strength and track of Fay. Right now the NHC is thinking that Fay will reach hurricane strength before landfall in Western FL. I'm not totally agreeing with that track and strength, but here's my forecast on Fay.

  • Landfall Time: Late Tuesday, August 19th

  • Landfall Strength: Strong Cat. 3 (125 mph winds w/higher gust)

  • Landfall Location (Cantore's Spot as I like to call it): Pensacola/Destin, FL; or somewhere in between those areas.

This is the latest satellite image of Fay. It's not as strong as it was this morning, but as Fay continues her westward march, she will stay over the warm Atlantic waters and grow. Over the past couple of hours, she has been showing good signs of strengthening and growth. I'll be following this system closely, as it may very well affect our weather here in Middle TN later on.

* But as for us, after this morning's southern Middle TN rain, the weather cleared enough and has given us partly sunny skies and it will continue to clear out as we head into the starry night. I was coming home from my nieces birthday party when I read on one of the interstates flashing overhanging alert signs, "Air Quality Alert Day For Nashville Tomorrow, Ride Public Transit". I was thinking to myself, today would of been a good day for one too cause this morning I was looking at the skyline of Nashville, but all you could really see was hazy skies. Hope everyone has a good Saturday night ahead.

Friday, August 15, 2008

South Carolina Storm Pictures

These images where taken yesterday by Jeb Horton out of Irmo, SC from the Dutch Fork High School area. From the looks of the first pictures, it looks alot like a funnel cloud but he didn't mention any signs of rotation. And the second picture shows what looks to be a wall cloud forming along with the hanging low cloud underneath it which would suggest a funnel cloud, but again, he didn't mention any signs of rotation. Interesting photos nevertheless and thanks to Jeb for e-mailing me these amazing pictures.

If you would like to see your storm photos on the blog, just send them to my e-mail address ( and I'll try my best to put them on my morning post.

Same Nice Conditions For August

It looks like the same weather conditions will continue for us folks here in Middle TN and Southern KY. There's a Slight chance at an isolated shower/t'shower for anyone this afternoon due to the heating of the atmosphere and making the moisture "bubble" and then we get the isolated showers. There are already some showers moving into the NW areas of Middle TN from Western KY that will give places in Clarksville a wet morning commute. The high's still won't get out of the upper 80's and it looks to continue that way for some time. The next BIG (40% in August is BIG) looks to be next week on Monday, but the weekend could be rain for some people. Here's today's forecasted high's.

Nashville: upper 80's; 10% chance
Clarksville: mid 80's; 20% chance
Cookeville: mid 80's; 20% chance
Columbia: upper 80's; 10% chance
Manchester: mid to upper 80's; 10% chance

Thursday, August 14, 2008

Quick Forecast; Poll Results

I got a late start with my forecast, so it's going to be sweet and too the point. For today you can expect mostly clear skies with the heat returning just a bit, but no where near the heat we had last August.

Nashville: upper 80's
Clarksville: mid to upper 80's
Cookeville: mid 80's
Columbia: upper 80's
Manchester: mid to upper 80's

Poll Results:

"Do You Have SKYWARN Training?"

Yes: 8
No: 1

Thanks too all for voting. I won't put up a new blog poll til this afternoon since I'm running behind.

Wednesday, August 13, 2008

Nice Day Again; Wetter Weekend?

This same pattern that we've been in for almost a week now will continue today, as we won't hit the 90º mark again today, nor will we see any good rain chances (small chance along AL/TN border and Plateau region). The next big rain chance still looks to be Saturday, but those chances are at 40% at this time. Hope everyone has a good day (I will with Channel 4 coming!). Here's today's forecasted high's.

Nashville: mid to upper 80's
Clarksville: mid 80's
Cookeville: mid 80's; 10% chance
Columbia: mid to upper 80's; 10% chance
Manchester: mid 80's; 10% chance

Tuesday, August 12, 2008

Same Weather Pattern Continues...Enjoy!; Channel 4 Surprise

Like I've pointed out time and time again, it's not everyday, in August, where you get to actually enjoy spending time outside and not get over exhausted or something to that nature, but that's the current weather pattern we have right now and it looks to stay that way til at least the weekend before we get a decent chance at some much needed rain for the first time this week. Speaking of rain, today places on the Cumberland Plateau and higher elevations of the Rim might see a shower or two "pop" this afternoon due to the heating of the day, but it won't ruin any of your outdoor, evening plans.

Nashville: mid 80's
Clarksville: mid 80's
Cookeville: low 80's; 10% chance
Columbia: mid 80's
Manchester: mid 80's

The surprise I'm going to tell you about is that Channel 4 will be shooting LIVE up at our school tomorrow from 4:30-7:00 and will be doing LIVE cut-in's periodically through every hour and I'll be there and hopefully the rest of the school will be there too. I'm in the Interactive Multimedia class at my school, so I'll be filming at the same time Channel 4 will. Aaron Solomon came to our school yesterday to shot some film before tomorrow's event, and we had a pep rally just for that occasion and someone accidentally hit him with one of the inflatable ring, saucer type things and it was while he was shooting and talking about something to the camera! I hope it goes well and I'll be supporting my Tigers all the way!

Monday, August 11, 2008

Drier and Much Nicer Weather Pattern

As we begin our next work week, the main words for this week will be NICE and DRY. The reason I say dry, is because the models don't really bring a good rain chance into Middle TN until the weekend rolls around, but with the weekend being 5-6 days away, anything can change. The cooler weather pattern will continue onward this week with the regional temperatures barely reaching the 90º mark if they even do so. For August...this sure is a good treat! Have a good one today and enjoy these rare, nice days in August.

Nashville: mid 80's
Clarksville: low to mid 80's
Cookeville: low 80's
Columbia: mid 80's
Manchester: mid 80's

Friday, August 8, 2008

Cooler, Not Average August Day!

WOW, wow is all I can say about today forecast, the high's in Nashville won't make it out of the mid 80's today, so some places on the Plateau will see low 80's for high's and maybe an isolated spot or two in the 70's. It's not every August you see numbers like this, but today is not a typical August day like I've mentioned. No rain is in the forecast for your weekend either, so get out and enjoy the cooler and drier temperatures.

Nashville: mid 80's
Clarksville: mid 80's
Cookeville: low to mid 80's
Columbia: mid 80's
Manchester: mid 80's

Thursday, August 7, 2008

Rainfall Amounts

Rain is still falling over parts of SW Middle TN around the Waynesboro/Lawrenceburg/ and Savannah areas. A couple of isolated showers still persist over western Rutherford County as well as in parts of Warren County on the upper Highland Rim region. The isolated showers and rains will continue there march towards the SE and will be exiting the Middle TN so your evening plans should go as scheduled with out any weather problems.

Yesterday's Storm Reports 8-6-08; Cooler August Weather Ahead!

Here's the storm reports that where received last night by the NWS office in Nashville (OHX) and what kind of damage was witnessed.

  • Robertson County (Cooperstown): Penny Size hail reported in Cooperstown. This is the area where the storms popped-up and they keep intensifying as they moved eastward.

  • Wilson County (Mt. Juliet): Dime to Penny Size hail reported by Emergency Management.

  • Sumner County (White House): Small trees down and limbs from bigger trees down. Loss of Commercial power reported.

  • Wilson County (Lebanon): Trees down near HWY 231 and Cedar Grove Road.

  • Trousdale County (Hartsville): Large tree limbs down at HWY 10 near HWY 25.

  • Macon County (Lafayette): Tree down.

  • Jackson County (Gainesboro): Trees and power lines down.

  • Putnam County (Cookeville): Trees and power lines down in Cookeville. You can read more of Cookeville's weather reports by going to Mike's blog at

I would expect that we could hear of more reports coming in later on during the morning, because since these storms hit during the overnight hours, people could see if any of their trees or if any other damage in the neighborhood was caused by the storms blowing through.

As the front passes over Middle TN today, then temperatures look to be held down into the mid to upper 80's for most folks. The humidity will also decline and it won't feel like a typical August day for us. The rain and storm chances enter the big picture this afternoon (can't rule out an isolated shower/t'shower for the western half of Middle TN for this morning due to showers and t'showers already forming in West TN around Memphis). The severe weather looks to stay mainly south of us today, but areas on the AL/TN state line need to keep alert to any warnings or significant weather alerts that may be issued today. The biggest threat with the storms that may turn severe, will be damaging wind gust and possibly a wet microburst or two.

Last Severe Update For August 7th

As the cluster of storms that formed back in Robertson County (Springfield) have moved out of the Middle TN area, I can now give my final update on this storm system. Like I said before, I'm going to give you the actually storm report map and what counties where in warnings, in the morning, but I will tell you this. Cookeville (Putnam County) took a direct hit from this line of storms and it caused widespread damage in the county (Mainly tree and power line damage). Thanks to Mike, for relaying the information to us. If you have any photos from tonight's event, e-mail me them at If I'm going to make a morning post...I need at least 3 hours of sleep...I'll be lucky to get that I think!

Wednesday, August 6, 2008

Severe Storms Growing

We just had a now Severe T'storm Warned cell move through the Highland Rim WX Station just about 10 minutes ago. We had big fat drops and intense lightning that struck near the house on several occasions. The line in Macon and stretching down through Trousdale and Smith counties into Wilson counties, has grown and is marching eastward at a good clip. I will continue to monitor this line and see if it dies or continues its strengthening.

EDIT: A number of different reports have come out of this system and I will post the storm reports in my morning post tomorrow as the line is still moving eastward and still has warnings in it. Putnam/DeKalb/ and Jackson counties.

Dissiminating the Threats

Today, as we have mentioned, strong-to-severe storms are possible later this evening and overnight. Recent changes in forecast models/predictions are leaning towards a slightly less severe event then what was originally thought. For people in the Mid-State you can expect:

Strong Storms in Some Areas-Namely West of I-65.

Stronger storms will have:

50>Mph Wind Gusts
Pea Size Hail
Strong Rain

Strong to Severe Storm Day Awaits For This Afternoon and Evening

The SPC has continued to issue a Slight risks of severe weather for all of the Middle TN areas including places on the Cumberland Plateau. The main threat with the storms that do fire in the afternoon and evening hours will have the risk of containing damaging winds with the also the possibility of large hail and a brief isolated tornado or two. The heating of the day as well as the high DP's is what's fueling the atmosphere for the storm development for this afternoon and giving us this rare severe chance in August.

Nashville: mid 90's; 50% chance
Clarksville: low 90's; 60% chance
Cookeville: low 90's; 50% chance
Columbia: mid 90's; 50% chance
Manchester: low 90's 40% chance

Severe Update

There is a small chance of seeing some severe weather in the early morning hours today. A gust front induced line of thunderstorms are slowly beginning to work there way into the Middle-Tennessee Area. Extreme Northern Parts of the area are under a "Slight" risk of seeing severe weather. With this there is a SMALL Chance and I mean SMALL chance of seeing a tornado, mainly if these storms find enough energy in Middle Tennessee they could turn severe, mainly with damaging winds and Large Hail. I will update throughout the morning to bring you updates on the pending severe weather.

Tuesday, August 5, 2008

Heat Wave To Continue; Severe Weather Possible Tomorrow

Today was once again a typical hot Tennessee day. Some areas in the mid-state reached up into the mid-to-upper 90's. Unfortunately the heat wave will continue tomorrow. And once again we have an Air Quality Alert in effect for the Metro-Nashville area, remember to limit outdoor exposure for young children and people with respiratory issues.

The severe threat is also there tomorrow. The entire state of Tennessee is under a "Slight" risk of severe weather. It appears the main threats will be Damaging Winds and Large Hail. Please monitor the weather tomorrow for possible watches and or warnings.


Wednesday: Mostly Cloudy, High near 96, Chance of Rain, 40%

Thursday: Cloudy, High near 86, Chance of Rain 50%

Friday: Partly Cloudy, High near 94

Mid-Morning Update

I'm assuming Charles is at school, so i'll give a mid-morning update. Well Chicago got whalloped last night by the Derecho (pronounced: dey-RAY-cho) A derecho is a widespread damaging wind event.

Today will be another hot day; some areas may even hit 100 degrees. Drink plenty of liquids before going golfing, or gardening. I don't expect to see any rain today. Tomorrow, were running about a 30% chance of seeing a shower or thunderstorm.

Tropical Storm Edouard has made landfall in Louisiana Arklatex. The image is the l;atest view of the storm from the GRLevel3 Radar program.

Tropical Storm Edouard Making Landfall; Chicago Derecho; TN Forecast

Edouard is about to make landfall in the Beaumont, TX; Port Arthur, TX; or Cameron, LA areas. Tropical Storm forced winds have reached the coastline of LA and TX and have gusted upwards to 60 mph. The rainfall totals from this storm will range from 2" up too 8". Not as big as Dolly was, but Edouard will bring some beneficial rain to that drought stricken area, so any amount would be good.
Last night, along with tracking the tropical storm, I was tracking the areas of Northern IL and IN who where dealing with a derecho event. You can see in the picture from the weatherunderground radar, the backwards C shape, well what that means is that the highest winds will be on the leading edge of the flipped C and right in that's path was the suburbs of Chicago. There was a report of a 94 mph wind gust just north of the city last evening along with wide spread damage ranging from power lines down, to buildings being leveled. One fatality has been confirmed in IN with this event, a large tree limb fell on a car. 2 tornado touchdowns where reported in to the local NWS offices and around 97 wind reports in which this derecho caused.

Now as for us, we don't have any derecho type system to affect us today, all we have is HOT and humid conditions. Today might be the hottest day of the year so far, but there are signs of relief. We issue a storm and rain chance tomorrow and a slight chance for Weds., but the good news is, is that the temperatures will back off back down into the mid to upper 80's! So if we can survive this ONE more day of sweltering heat...then we've got good times ahead!

Nashville: upper 90's
Clarksville: upper 90's
Cookeville: mid 90's
Columbia: upper 90's
Manchester: mid to upper 90's

Monday, August 4, 2008

Hot Days Ahead; Tomorrow's Outlook

It was HOT today, I should know! I had to stand in line at Gallatin High School for 50 minutes, waiting to get registered. Aside from that, though, it was a great day. There were a few high-level cirrus clouds but nothing that ruined a nice sunset. Tomorrow, Air Quality will be poor, again, as we have another Alert day tomorrow. Heat will also be a big factor tomorrow, temps in some ares may even hit the 100 degree mark!

3-Day Outlook:

Tuesday: Sunny, High Near 97 degrees

Wednesday: 30% Chance of Rain, High Near 99

Thursday: 30% Chance of Rain, High near 86 degrees

Car Ovens In Late July

The NWS office in Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI; did a study to see how much the temperature rises in your car during the midday hours of the summer season. The results are very nerve racking and the danger doesn't need to be overlooked. Here's a couple of the findings in the study done by the NWS office in Milwaukee/Sullivan in WI.

  • 12:45 p.m.: Car Temp. was 83ºF; Atmosphere Temp. was 92ºF

  • 1:00 p.m.: Car Temp. was 120ºF: Atmosphere Temp. was 93ºF

  • 1:45 p.m.: Car Temp. was 127ºF: Atmosphere Temp. was 94ºF

  • 2:15 p.m.: Car Temp. was 130F: Atmosphere Temp. was 95ºF

  • 3:00 p.m.: Car Temp. was 133ºF: Atmosphere Temp. was 95ºF

As you can tell, the temperature outside may not jump up but a few degrees, but inside of a vehicle, the temperature will rise much more quickly. In only 15 minutes (not even long enough to pick up a few groceries) the temperature inside the car jumped from, air cooled, 83ºF too , not engine running, 120ºF. A 37º temperature change in that short amount of time can and will mean life or death.

NHC's Track Map; Typical August Day Ahead

As Matt mentioned last evening, Tropical Storm Edouard has formed in the Gulf and will continue its westward movement, but it is not forecasted to intensify into a hurricane before it makes landfall, but it will get very close. As you can tell from the NHC's tracker of tropical systems...SE Texas (Corpus Christi) is in a Hurricane Watch Advisory just for precautionary reasons while the rest of TX and LA coastline are under a Tropical Storm Advisory.

For us here in the good state of TN, we look to have a mostly dry and HOT day to look not so forward too. The high's will range in the 90's everywhere, but some areas will get close to the 95-98ºF with localized areas higher (south of I-40 is best chance of that). The Heat Indexes will be close to the 105ºF range and a Heat Advisory day might be issued as well. The sad thing is thought, that today isn't the hottest day we will see...tomorrow even looks hotter then today. What a day to start my school year back!

Nashville: mid 90's to upper 90's
Clarksville: mid 90's
Cookeville: low to mid 90's
Columbia: mid 90's
Manchester: mid 90's

Sunday, August 3, 2008

Tropical Storm Edourad Forms; Favre Update

Tropical Storm Edourad has formed in the Gulf of Mexico, very close to Louisiana. Maximum Sustained winds vary from 40-45 mph. Barometric Pressure in the storm is at about 1002 millibars. This will likely remain a Tropical Storm as it moves inland.

Quick NFL Update: Brett Favre was re-instated to the NFL by commisioner Roger Goodell.

Mercury on the Rise; Air Quality Alert

The cool breeze I was talking about has gone away, FAR, FAR, AWAY. Temperatures are on the rise across the mid-state, it's already reaching into the mid-80's in the Nashville Metro Area. The heat will be a factor today, the high will get up to 94 miserable degrees.

There is an Air-Quality Alert for the Nashville Areas, Davidson, Sumner, Macon, Trousdale..etc. Remember to limit your time outside and drink water to prevent heat stroke.

There doesn't appear to be a chance for rain in a few days. Tuesday Night appears to be the first day we'll run into the chance of seeing some rain, I think anything that falls will be a welcome site to all.


Today, Sunny, High 94 Degrees

Tonight, Clear, Low 72 Degrees

Monday, Sunny, HOT, 97 Degrees

Monday Night, Clear, Low 74 degrees

Pleasent Morning Surprise; Clear Today

I walked outside and it hit me the coolest breeze this summer I have ever felt. I was very surprised at the way the temperatures were this morning. There insn't going to be a cloud in the sky today, sunny conditions should make for a PERFECT day, if you dont mind the heat.

Later today temps. should reach up into the mid-90's

Saturday, August 2, 2008

Alabama Tornado Warned Cell...Hook on Radar?

I don't know if it's just me, but if you notice by looking at the weatherunderground radar of the tornado warned cell, you can (in my opinion) see a hook echo just SW of Ragland, AL. The storm relative radar doesn't show much contrasting winds, but that does eerily resemble a hook to me. I would really appreciate any comments on if you guys think that's a hook or not.

Sultry Day; Mild Night

It has been another sultry day in the Midlle Tennessee area. Again, heat advisories were issued for some of our western counties. Expect the same conditions tomorrow, if it's not even hotter than today. I believe a Heat Advisory will be issued for some of the Mid-State areas. This might effect football practices or mid-day tee times. If you will be out tomorrow, be sure to stay hydrated and rest.
Tomorrow's highs will differ in the different altitudes:

Gallatin, Partly Cloudy, High of 96 degrees

Lafayette, Partly Cloudy, High of 95 degrees

Cookeville, Mostly Sunny, High near 93 degrees

There is a small chance of rain tomorrow for anywhere in Tennessee, that chance looks to be only 10%.

Heat Advisories In Effect

The NWS office in Nashville has issued Heat Advisories from the Marshall County/Williamson County line, eastward to the TN River. The counties across the River (Henry, Carroll, etc.) those places are in Excessive Heat Warnings.

August...You Can Feel Its Welcome!

Today your going to want to find some form of coolness and if your not an indoors person with the air conditioning...a pool or a sprinkler system would be refreshing. And today isn't going to be the warmest day of the next 5 days. It looks like right now, that early next week, will be the hottest temperatures as well as the hottest fell like temps. (Heat Advisories may be needed). Here's today's forecasted high's.

Nashville: mid 90's
Clarksville: mid 90's
Cookeville: low 90's
Columbia: mid 90's
Manchester: low to mid 90's

***In tonight's post, I'm going to give a brief report on how the Western Kentucky trip went and how the new B.S. meteorology degree is going and where it is headed.

Friday, August 1, 2008

China's Total Eclipse; Friday Outlook

At right around 6 o'clock (our time) this morning, parts of Northern China witnessed the 1 minute and 30 second Total Eclipse. The Total Eclipse occured in that area at 7:00 p.m. and made it completely nighttime again for that short period of time.

After a foggy start this morning, the temperatures will rise up well into the typical 90's today with no real chance at any shower/t'shower activity. The next 8 days really doesn't show any good chance at any rain over those next days, but the heat will be with us. Looks like the classic August weather is back in store for us Middle Tennesseans.

Nashville: mid 90's
Clarksville: low to mid 90's
Cookeville: low 90's
Columbia: mid 90's
Manchester: mid 90's