Wednesday, August 20, 2008

Tropical Storm Fay...WON'T GIVE!

I'm not totally agreeing with the NHC's track, Fay has already exited the eastern coast of FL, but due to her close proximity to land, I don't see her getting up to hurricane strengthen there. Neither does the NHC, BUT this is where the models, again, disagree. Some have Fay going on the NHC's track and not hitting the Gulf of Mexico's warm waters, I tend to agree with the other models and I have Fay entering the GOM waters and strengthening there up too a Cat. 1 strengthen.
This is the 00 UTC run of Fay and it shows that what's left of Fay will trek JUST east of the Nashville area (the center should be around Chattanooga), but the only down side is, is that most of the moisture stays on the eastern side of a tropical system (as you can tell by the model above) and it really doesn't bring much this way. It's all just a wait and see game.

*For today, there's an area of embedded shower/t'shower activity over in Western TN around Memphis this morning, that will work it's way eastward and affect our Middle TN counties around the TN River areas (Montgomery, Houston, Decatur, etc. counties) later on this afternoon. For the rest of Mid. TN, not much in the way of rain. We could see some afternoon pop-up action everywhere, but nothing widespread is in the forecast for the next 7 days. Not what you want to hear, but that's all mother nature's giving us.

Nashville: low 90's; 10% chance
Clarksville: upper 80's to low 90's; 30% chance (increasing to 40% later this evening)
Cookeville: upper 80's; 10% chance
Columbia: low 90's; 10% chance (increasing to 20% later this evening)
Manchester: upper 80's to low 90's; 10% chance

No comments: