Wednesday, July 9, 2008

Slight Risk and MCD Issued by The SPC


The first picture, is a Mesoscale Discussion that is for parts of Eastern Mid. TN and Eastern TN for a possible watch later on today. The second picture is from the SPC where they issued a slight risk for areas east of the Tenn. River. Damaging winds are the biggest threat with the storms that do fire. The clouds are just now beginning to clear here, and that will help destabilizte the atmopshere from this morning's beneficial rain. I'll have more updates as the day goes on, but here's the statement givin by the SPC for us here in Mid. TN.

...TN VALLEY TO NC/VA... LOW LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE CONTINUES TO SAG SEWD OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS AND SHOULD FOCUS DEEP MOIST CONVECTION FROM THE SRN PLAINS EWD INTO THE SRN/CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND MID ATLANTIC TODAY. WV IMAGERY FAILS TO INDICATE ANY WELL DEFINED SYSTEM ACROSS THIS REGION...ALTHOUGH LONGER-LIVED CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS MOVING INTO CENTRAL AR AND INTO ERN KY/MIDDLE TN ASSOCIATED WITH WEAK IMPULSES WHICH ARE LIKELY CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED. STRONG HEATING FROM THE MID SOUTH INTO WRN VA/NC SHOULD SUPPORT VERY STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND AXIS OF STRONG INSTABILITY BY THE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH WIND PROFILES REMAIN QUITE WEAK FROM THE MID SOUTH WWD... MODEST 2-3 KM WLY FLOW /I.E. NEAR 25 KT/ EVIDENT ON VWPS FROM KY/TN SUGGESTS POTENTIAL FOR WIND DAMAGE WILL INCREASE WITH INCREASED SURFACE HEATING FROM MIDDLE TN EWD. RESIDUAL CLOUDS OVER THE NRN/ERN VA NWD ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC WILL TEMPER STORM INTENSITY/COVERAGE NEAR THE EAST COAST...ALTHOUGH CLEARING FROM THE WEST SHOULD ALLOW WEAKLY ORGANIZED LINES/CLUSTERS TO DEVELOP EWD ACROSS WRN/CENTRAL VA/NC LATER TODAY.




3 comments:

MTWC said...

Hey I was looking at your sitemeter and something is wrong because the admin ignorer wasn't ignoring you IP. My site meter for some reason started counting my views too not too long ago for some reason as well.
-Clay

Charles Loring said...

Hmm...I'll check it out. Thanks for the warning.

MTWC said...

No problem.