This is the wind profile from the outlooks and zoned out is a 15% risk area for now all of Middle TN and SCK. This morning it was just located in the Northern Middle TN areas and SCK. The 30% wind profiles do clip portions of western Middle around the Waverly and Dover areas.
We could see a MCS form tonight from the action that is associated back in OK moving into AR at this time, and the SPC is thinking that for anyone in this slight risk zone...could see damaging winds. This will be a damaging event, and the locations in the 30% risk area have the best chance.
By the time the next outlook comes (3 pm)...we should be seeing this MCS form and we should know if and when the storms will arrive.