Music City Bowl Forecast

Here's my MCB forecast, if any of you are going to the game like I will be...you may want to wear an extra layer of clothing cause the Wind Chills will be brutally be cold.

And if you aren't going to the game or anywhere as of that matter, staying at home with the heat on sounds like a great idea! After yesterday's 50-60º day, today will be quite the opposite and not welcomed.

Lunchtime Forecast 11/30; Mid-January Artic Blast w/ Snow?

Before I get to the exciting part, I must get to today's forecast. For today expect mostly sunny skies until we reach our sunset, then expect a clear night with your low getting to around 33ºF-29ºF depending upon where you are located.

The models have been hinting for a while that we here in Middle TN and South Central KY, as well as places even south of here, could get a good snowstorm anywhere during the 9th through the 14th of this month. The models have frigid air entering our region from the NW and with that comes moisture too. This system is still over 10 days out and anything can change (and more then likely will). Even this morning some of the models have backtracked on the cold and the amount of moisture a bit, but we are still cold enough and have enough moisture to squeeze out a good event. This will be, like always, a nail bitter till the end!

Blog Poll Results: White Christmas Witnesses

" Have You Ever Witnessed A White Christmas?"


Yes
5 (71%)

No
1 (14%)

Can't Remember Either Way
1 (14%)

After have been away from blog posting a couple days, I'll be back tomorrow morning posting about the mid-January Artic spell we may encounter! That'd be a great welcome to the new year for you snowlovers...not so much for the snow haters though.

Severe Risk Update: Damaging Winds Main Threat

As you can tell, the SPC has moved the biggest threat to the NE a good bit. That move to the NE is big for us and here's why. The bigger dynamics of this system will be moving off to the NE all day today. With that shift to the NE, when the suspected squall line moves through our region, the tornadic threat we will have (which is small to begin with) will begin to move off to the NE as it moves eastward. With that said, the biggest risk of severe weather (TOR and WIND combined) is going to be places around the TN River area, while the areas with less chance are on the Plateau areas around Crossville. Either way you look at it, we could see some warnings and possibly a Tornado Watch issued for our area later on this evening into the early morning hours on Sunday. But like the title says, the biggest threat will be damaging winds.

Nashville: low to mid 70's
Clarksville: low to mid 70's
Cookeville: upper 60's
Columbia: low to mid 70's
Manchester: upper 60's to low 70's

Saturday/Sunday 11/27-11/28 Severe Threat

Here's the SPC's Convective Outlook of this weekends potential severe day. Here is a list of things that I think you may see here in Middle TN and South Central KY from this system.

*- Squall Line (this is my thinking) will arrive during the early morning hours on Sunday.
*- Any broken cells in front of the approaching line, will have the potential to "spin up" an isolated tornado.
*- Main threat with this system as a whole will be damaging winds, mainly when the squall line passes through your area.
*- Areas of my highest concern are located around the TN River areas (Dover, Paris, Camden, and Hopkinsville, KY etc.) Where the SPC has the 15% risk area outlined in blue in the map above.

I will have an update on these in my morning post tomorrow.

Merry Christmas! Saturday Severe Threat

HO HO HO! Well, I'm not Santa Claus, but if I was; this TN weather would be like Caribbean weather to me. Even if we don't have snow on the ground like the penguin family in the picture above has, I hope you are having a very Merry Christmas today anyway. The weather couldn't be any more right for a day like today. Yes the temps. could be a little warmer, but God has blessed us with a wonderful weather day with no rain or weather worries around.

*Tomorrow I will post a map showing the severe weather potential for Saturday into Sunday, but there is still a lot of uncertainty with that event to what we could see and how bad it could get. Right now MY current thinking is that it will be more of a damaging wind threat with an isolated tornado threat with any stronger storms.

MERRY CHRISTMAS!

Christmas Eve Forecast

Well, the time has come yet again. I've always been told that when you get older, time goes by much faster. Well I'm only 16 years old and time is going by faster then ever, if it was to go any faster...I might miss Christmas from here on out! But anyway, if you are traveling here in the Mid State for the holidays, it will be a wet go for you, especially if you are in Western Middle TN and Western KY. The temps. today could reach the 60º mark, but the real weather story is the wind. The OHX office is saying we could have wind gust as high as 50 mph today, and that isn't with the storm winds we could see today. There's a small risk of some severe weather in western parts of Middle TN today, and the biggest threat would be damaging winds. Hope everyone has a safe, Christmas Holiday!

*I will be doing a post tomorrow...it might be a mid-day post, but I will do one on Christmas Day!

Frigid TN Day; Coldest Morning Since 1993

WOW! When and if you manage to go outside this morning, you will be rudely introduced to this cold, arctic air that has been here for almost a day total now. Here's a list of some of the early morning readings and their WCV's.

7ºF, WC: -2ºF- Clarksville, TN
9ºF, WC: -2ºF- Shelbyville, TN
7ºF, WC: -5ºF- Hopkinsville, KY
5ºF, WC: -6ºF- Cookeville, TN
7ºF, WC: -2ºF- Bowling Green, KY
14ºF, WC: 4ºF- Waynesboro, TN

And this cold weather is going to stick around today as well just like it did yesterday. Our high will only reach 26ºF in Nashville while many areas will see readings between 21ºF-25ºF. But lucky our temp. will rise overnight tonight a little and we will see those temps. reach the 40's tomorrow...but we also have a freezing rain/sleet chance tonight as well, but that risk is slight and it won't amount to much at all.

Out The Door Forecast Headlines: 12/21

Wind Chill Advisories may be needed tonight for us. We haven't been in a WCA for a few years now, so this cold weather will take us all by surprise.

Wet and Windy December 19th, 2008

This is the Graphical Hazardous Weather Outlook posted by OHX this morning. Along with the rain, we are experiencing some very windy conditions with gust as high as 35 mph in some places. This rain and wind will be around for much of the day and our temps. will be falling throughout the day as well, but the lowest I see it getting to is the low 50's for everyone.