Day 3 Slight Risk For Middle TN/South Central KY

Well here we go folks, it looks like around the Weds. time frame we are expecting some strong to severe storms with damaging winds being the primary threat, but isolated tornado development can't be ruled out either. For here the main concern is of a frontal squall line event bringing with it 60+ mph winds. But if we get more time to destabilize and to stay in the warm sector longer...we could see pre-frontal (storms ahead of the squall) storm development and those tend to have the better chance to spawn tornadoes. I will be monitoring this threat all day long today and will have more tonight. This is a threat that you need to take with caution. I'm not expecting anything near the magnitude of Feb. 5th, but this is a threat that needs to be watched closely for everyone in Middle TN/South Central KY.

Mid-week Severe Threat

This is the SPC's Day 4 outlook and this just shows you how much uncertainty they, and most people involved in the meteorological field, have with this system. They have the risk for severe storms all the way north to the Great Lakes region stretching downward to the Gulf Coast region of AL and MS. As of right now the main threat here in Middle TN and South Central KY looks to be a strong squall line type event with the possibility of some embedded rotating segments in that line that could put down a brief tornado or two. Matt, Fred, and I will continue to give you the latest on this risk as more data comes out and we get a better understanding on how this event might unfold.

WSMV's "Surviving the Storm" Pictures and Write-Up

As you can tell, many people showed up to the event to learn more about severe weather and how to better protect themselves and their loved ones too in time of bad weather.

This image is a close-up of Lisa Spencer after the event. She joked with a few of us that many people get her confused with Jennifer Herron who does the traffic reports for Channel 4. :)

Here's a link to the other images http://www.skywarnonline.com/forums/album.php?albumid=157

As many of you may know, I had the chance to go up to my high school Thursday night to watch and take pictures of the program given by WSMV's meteorologist. 3 of the 4 WSMV mets were in attendance (Tim Ross was unable to attend) and I got a chance to meet Lisa Spencer and Dan Thomas after the show, Nancy Van Camp had to leave after the program since she had to do the morning show. Just for some more info., one of my friends took a picture of me and Lisa and told her I was going to be a future TV meteorologist as well, but I don't have that image to put on here! And then I spoke with Dan Thomas and stayed at school til 10:30 to watch him give his 10 o'clock news weather segment, which was pretty cool since only 4 others did the same as me and watched him.

Warmer Today

For those of you early birds stirring this morning, step outside! It is a warmer morning for us here in Middle Tennessee. But warmer weather is here, warm enough that we may break the record temperature for today of 70 degrees....needless to say that's quite impressive. Today looks to remain constant with yesterday, Mostly Sunny and Warm!

Here's your Forecasted Conditions for some cities in Middle Tennessee:
Nashville, Mostly Sunny, 69
Clarksville, Mostly Sunny, 67
Tullahoma, Mostly Sunny, 69
Dickson, Mostly Sunny, 68

Have a good day!

Mild Weekend Awaits

After enduring bitter cold for most of this week, warmer weather looks to settle in to the mid-state this weekend. Well even today, highs in Middle Tennessee reached into the mid 60's! That's 20 degrees warmer than we were this time yesterday! Warmer weather will stay around for a bit. It will get cooler by the end of next week....but we're only talking highs in the 50's. So be happy!

Current Conditions:
Gallatin, Sunny, 61

Nashville, Sunny, 64

Lawrenceburg, Mostly Sunny, 65

3-Day Forecast
Tonight: Mostly Clear, Low in the 40's, SW Wind 5-10 m.p.h.
Saturday:Sunny, High's in the upper 60's
Saturday Night: Partly.....Becoming Mostly Cloudy in the late afternoon, Rain Chances after Midnight Chance of Rain: 20%

HAVE A GOOD NIGHT!!

February 5th Lafayette Tornado Post

This image was taken by the OHX storm survey team in the Scottsville Rd./Ackersville Rd. area. Directly to the left of where this image was taken, is where the Zion Missionary Baptist Church stood. It has now been built back thanks to all the donations givin from everyone! If you also notice in the far back right, you will see what looks to be a bus. That bus is of my church where we went to help out one of our fellow members clean-up their house which was heavily damaged with both sides of the house taken away.

Tonight, WSMV is coming up to our high school to do a event called, "Surviving the Storm". All 4 (Tim Ross, Nancy Van Camp, Lisa Spencer, and Dan Thomas) will be up here to show the safety percautions needed in wake of when severe storms strike. I won't be able to go I don't believe. But if I do, I will take pictures of the event and such. Here's a link to their page discussing this event tonight. http://www.wsmv.com/weather/15618899/detail.html

First Severe Threat In Loom?

This is the SPC Convective Outlook map that I will use again very often with our severe storms this year, much like did last year. Right now, the risk looks to stay mainly north of Middle TN and South Central KY...but if the low placement shifts any further south, we are right back in the biggest risk area for severe storms. Again, this threat is still 6+ days out, but it still needs to be monitored and that is what Fred, Matt, and I will continue to do.

Mt. Redoubt Update

This is the seismic chart I have put on this blog before and this is an updated look at the current activity at the volcano. I have been tracking this thing for several days now and not once have I seen red lines appear on this map. If anyone knows why this is detecting red lines now, please leave a comment or e-mail me at charlesloring_2010@hotmail.com. I would greatly appreciate it. Here is the most recent report form a geologist their at Mt. Redoubt.

Unrest at Redoubt Volcano continues. Seismic activity remains elevated and
is well above background levels. Clear web camera images from this morning show
no activity at the volcano.

Light Snow Showers Today; Drier Period Ahead

After we get this mornings period of light snow showers to pass our Northern counties in Middle TN today, we look to see a drier period come into play to round out the week heading into next week. None of this snow should accumulate much, but we can't rule out an isolated area in Northern Middle TN or South Central KY to see more then a dusting from this. Travel problems should not occur due to this morning snow either. One of the bigger stories today is going to be the winds we are going to see. Once this cold front pushes its way through our region, it will usher in colder air and NW winds that could set off more snow showers and flurries later on this afternoon as well, but no accumulation is expected with those either.

Nashville: mid to upper 30's (Dropping to the upper 20's by 4 p.m.)
Clarksville: upper 20's to low 30's
Cookeville: low 30's
Columbia: mid to upper 30's (Dropping to the upper 20's by 4 p.m.)
Manchester: mid 30's (Dropping to the upper 20's by 2 p.m.)

HR Call Map: GroundHog's Day Snow Event

This isn't the 4"+ snow event we first thought it could turn out to be...but 1.5" of snow isn't impossible with this system, especially for the ones N/NE of Nashville.