Afternoon Forecast 5/18/09

How about today's weather? No complaints on my end, that's for sure. Canadien High-Pressure has set up to our north and that will continue to give us great weather for the next couple of days. Until that moves out, you can continue to expect below-average temperatures as well as pretty gusty winds for much of the Mid-State.

Current Conditions in Nashville:
Sunny
Temperature: 68 Degrees
Winds: N at 14 / G 22 mph

**I will continue to post local forecasts on this blog while Charles checks out posting on the other site**

Have a Good Day and check in tonight for an updated forecast.

Blogs Future...

This is a special note to all my blog readers: I have taken a forecasting job per se on a new website called http://www.southernuswx.net/ and I am going to be devoting most of my weather time to that forum. So as of right now, I am going to put this blog on temporary suspension. If I do not like doing that job and or miss the blog...I will gladly come back. But for now, I hope you guys read my Tennessee forecasts on http://www.southernuswx.net/!

Severe T'storm Watch: Til 9 am

Severe Storms Today; More Tomorrow?

This is today's outlook and as you can tell, most areas in Middle TN and SCK are in the Slight risk zone. This morning rain may hamper our instability a good bit and that may diminish our severe threat a good bit, but we could also see some afternoon clearing and if that happens and our temps. go into the 70's...then we are right back in the ballgame. The risk, if we do get storms, would be large hail, damaging winds, and isolated tornadoes.

This outlook is for tomorrow and it has all of Middle TN and SCK included. OHX only has my community at a 20% chance of storms which I think they will change since this new outlook was released.

*If nothing else, we are looking at very heavy rainfall totals yet again with some areas getting locally in the 3-4" range...especially across the SW corner where they need no more rain.

Wednesday Severe Threat

Wednesday looks like it could get pretty rough in parts of Middle TN and SCK. The threat with this looks to be a strong squall line type system (MCS) and that will bring with it damaging winds and possible isolated tornadoes. This system is still a day away and things could change like timing and intensity. The timing right now is that we may see it pass through western areas of Middle TN by noon and eastern areas by 3-4 pm. I will continue to watch this threat and will update you as needed.

*This afternoon, I am going to make a blog post concerning the issue of severe weather coverage and what my opinion is on it.

Possible Tornado Damage in Crossville; Update on Cowboys' Microburst Incident

This is from the NWS...TREES DOWN ON HOUSES...POWER LINES DOWM...INJURIES REPORTED FROM: EMERGENCY MNGR

Yesterday, the same system that hit the SE US today caused extensive damage in the TX/AR/LA regions before making its march this way and it caused a microburst to hit the Dallas Cowboys' Practice Facility in Irving, TX. One staff member is permanently paralyzed from the waist down and 2 other staff members are still hospitalized but all are in stable condition. Here's an updated link to this sad story. http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/news/story?id=4132947

Severe Weather South of Here; Flooding Rains Right On Us

This map is from the HPC (Hydrometeorological Prediction Center) and it is showing that over the next two days, some areas south of I-40 could see an additional 2-3". I am not all agreeing with this map that is only showing the highest amounts being 2.89", I think some localized places will see 4-5" of rain and over a foot of rain before all this leaves us Monday.

All of Middle TN is still in a Flood Watch and I think it is safe to say that most likely we will all stay in these Flood Watches throughout today as we see another round of heavy rain make its way through this region.

Major Flooding Expected!

OHX has issued Flood Watches for all of Middle TN and a few Flood Advisories as well as Flood Warnings.

Flood Advisory counties: Bedford, Lawrence, Davidson, and Williamson

Flood Warnings: Maury, Perry, Hickman, Humphreys, and Bedford

1-5+" of more rain is expected tonight and tomorrow across all of Middle TN. The areas that will have the most likely chance at seeing the highest totals are the ones that have already received a good amount already (Centerville, Columbia, Shelbyville, Linden, etc.). I think some areas will receive over a foot of rain after this is all said and done.

Severe T'storm Watch...Southern Middle TN; Tornado Reports from Lewis County

*Tornado damage in Lewis County has been reported and the reports keep coming in. We heard first that some trailers were overturned and now we have heard that 3 homes have been destroyed. But so far we have not heard of any injuries, but we will keep you updated.

Slight Risk Of Severe Weather Today; Severe Threat All Weekend?

Even after this morning's round of heavy rain and thunderstorm activity, we do have another risk this afternoon of some pop-up severe storms. With the strongest storms, you can expect thunderstorm wind gusts to around 60 mph and large hail to the size of quarters. The tornado threat is and will stay back west in the Great Plains region.

And as we head into the weekend, we keep this stormy weather around as the SPC has all of Middle TN and SCK in a Slight risk for Saturday. Main risks tomorrow will be damaging winds and large hail yet again. Then for Sunday, they have areas from Nashville westward in the Slight zone, but the difference for Sunday is that we do have a low tornado chance unlike for today and tomorrow. But like I said, that chance is low and really it doesn't look to be all that potent in terms of tornadic weather.